UN weather agency predicts that 1.5-degree Celsius target limit for global temperatures likely to be surpassed by 2028

The UN's weather agency predicts an 80% chance of global temperatures surpassing the 1.5°C target in the next five years, as outlined in the Paris climate accord. The World Meteorological Organization expects temperatures from 2024 to 2028 to be 1.1 to 1.9°C hotter than the start of the industrial era. UN Secretary-General António Guterres highlighted this threat in a speech for World Environment Day. The EU's climate service reported May as the hottest ever, with 12 consecutive months of record temperatures, attributing the trend to fossil fuel burning.

The U.N. weather agency on Wednesday predicted that there's an 80% chance that average global temperatures will surpass the 1.5 Celsius-degree (2.7 degree-Fahrenheit) target laid out in the landmark Paris climate accord within the next five years.

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The report was cited in a sweeping speech about the threat of climate change by U.N. Secretary-General António Guterres to mark World Environment Day. Meanwhile, the European Union ’s climate service says last month marked the hottest May ever, capping 12 straight months of average monthly temperature records amid high and rising concerns about global warming . The EU’s Copernicus climate change service, a global reference for tracking world temperatures, cited an average surface air temperature of 15.9 C (60.6 F) last month — or 1.52 C higher than the estimated May average before industrial times.

The burning of fossil fuels — oil, gas and coal — is the main contributor to global warming caused by human activity.

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